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Red31
27899.5
473412.1
415314.6
Blue34
910522.9
69748.5
908014.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334202060801003134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4153
#11
14.60.0
13.113.1
Auto4.2
Teleop9.9
End0.6
blue by 8.2
9105
#10
22.90.2
21.521.3
Auto9.6
Teleop11.4
End1.9
Second
4734
#19
12.10.0
9.39.3
Auto4.5
Teleop7.1
End0.5
blue by 1.9
14.00.2
9.49.1
Auto3.5
Teleop9.2
End1.3
Third
2789
#16
9.50.0
8.98.9
Auto5.4
Teleop3.3
End0.8
red by 1.0
6974
#25
8.50.2
6.36.1
Auto2.7
Teleop5.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed