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Red52
97863.7
420628.5
473412.1
Blue63
26579.7
45710.9
367626.0
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29470204060801005263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.51.6
17.318.9
Auto9.7
Teleop17.5
End1.3
red by 2.5
26.00.5
22.022.5
Auto12.6
Teleop11.6
End1.9
Second
4734
#19
12.11.6
9.310.8
Auto4.5
Teleop7.1
End0.5
red by 1.2
457
#21
10.90.5
9.910.4
Auto5.0
Teleop5.1
End0.8
Third
9786
#36
3.71.6
1.93.5
Auto1.4
Teleop1.9
End0.4
blue by 6.0
2657
#24
9.70.5
8.89.3
Auto5.2
Teleop3.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed