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Red32
58669.6
908014.0
852813.2
Blue29
72715.6
94576.3
419218.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3131283032343229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.00.3
7.57.2
Auto3.5
Teleop9.2
End1.3
blue by 4.5
18.50.1
11.511.6
Auto7.5
Teleop10.3
End0.7
Second
8528
#18
13.20.3
10.810.4
Auto8.0
Teleop3.9
End1.3
red by 7.0
9457
#26
6.33.0
6.39.3
Auto2.5
Teleop3.2
End0.6
Third
5866
#15
9.60.3
9.69.3
Auto3.0
Teleop5.7
End1.0
red by 4.0
7271
#37
5.60.1
7.17.2
Auto3.8
Teleop1.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed