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Red25
94576.3
88167.5
84088.7
Blue70
850710.8
913623.8
419218.5
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions215304060801001202570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8408
#13
8.70.3
8.27.9
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End1.0
blue by 15.1
23.81.7
22.123.8
Auto6.5
Teleop15.2
End2.1
Second
8816
#31
7.50.3
6.96.6
Auto3.1
Teleop3.1
End1.2
blue by 11.0
18.51.7
11.813.5
Auto7.5
Teleop10.3
End0.7
Third
9457
#26
6.30.5
7.77.2
Auto2.5
Teleop3.2
End0.6
blue by 4.6
8507
#22
10.81.7
10.211.9
Auto5.2
Teleop4.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed