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Red44
94576.3
636921.2
473412.1
Blue5
84088.7
97863.7
91372.8
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions441401020304050607080445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6369
#12
21.20.4
19.019.4
Auto8.2
Teleop11.7
End1.3
red by 12.5
8408
#13
8.70.8
7.97.1
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End1.0
Second
4734
#19
12.10.4
10.010.4
Auto4.5
Teleop7.1
End0.5
red by 8.4
9786
#36
3.70.8
3.62.8
Auto1.4
Teleop1.9
End0.4
Third
9457
#26
6.30.6
7.27.7
Auto2.5
Teleop3.2
End0.6
red by 3.4
9137
#32
2.80.8
4.94.1
Auto0.6
Teleop1.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed