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Red50
636921.2
42199.3
852813.2
Blue54
57838.1
27899.5
850710.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48320204060805054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6369
#12
21.20.4
19.419.0
Auto8.2
Teleop11.7
End1.3
red by 10.4
8507
#22
10.80.6
12.511.9
Auto5.2
Teleop4.5
End1.1
Second
8528
#18
13.20.4
11.911.5
Auto8.0
Teleop3.9
End1.3
red by 3.8
2789
#16
9.50.6
8.57.9
Auto5.4
Teleop3.3
End0.8
Third
4219
#17
9.30.4
9.99.4
Auto2.9
Teleop5.3
End1.1
red by 1.2
5783
#23
8.10.8
9.89.0
Auto3.2
Teleop4.7
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed