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Red39
57838.1
88167.5
116416.1
Blue39
541119.3
754012.1
96205.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344002060803939

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.1
Auto4.5
Teleop9.7
End1.9
blue by 3.2
19.3
Auto8.2
Teleop10.4
End0.8
Second
5783
#23
8.1
Auto3.2
Teleop4.7
End0.2
blue by 3.9
12.1
Auto5.5
Teleop5.2
End1.3
Third
8816
#31
7.5
Auto3.1
Teleop3.1
End1.2
red by 2.2
9620
#30
5.3
Auto0.6
Teleop3.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed