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Red58
367626.0
561310.4
83693.1
Blue62
69748.5
636921.2
45710.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37430102030506070805862

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.01.6
23.625.2
Auto12.6
Teleop11.6
End1.9
red by 4.8
6369
#12
21.20.9
20.221.1
Auto8.2
Teleop11.7
End1.3
Second
5613
#20
10.41.6
8.910.5
Auto3.6
Teleop5.9
End0.9
blue by 0.5
457
#21
10.90.9
10.411.3
Auto5.0
Teleop5.1
End0.8
Third
8369
#38
3.11.6
1.53.1
Auto2.1
Teleop0.3
End0.6
blue by 5.4
6974
#25
8.50.9
7.58.4
Auto2.7
Teleop5.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsEarned6%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed