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Red75
419218.5
908014.0
541119.3
Blue66
58669.6
910522.9
913623.8
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335702040801007566

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.32.2
13.715.8
Auto8.2
Teleop10.4
End0.8
blue by 4.5
23.81.2
19.020.1
Auto6.5
Teleop15.2
End2.1
Second
18.52.2
11.613.8
Auto7.5
Teleop10.3
End0.7
blue by 4.3
9105
#10
22.91.2
20.321.5
Auto9.6
Teleop11.4
End1.9
Third
14.02.2
7.29.4
Auto3.5
Teleop9.2
End1.3
red by 4.3
5866
#15
9.61.2
9.310.4
Auto3.0
Teleop5.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned61%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsMissed