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Red71
852813.2
913623.8
367626.0
Blue47
415314.6
419218.5
45710.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions734602060801001201407147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.00.2
26.026.2
Auto12.6
Teleop11.6
End1.9
red by 7.5
18.50.2
18.718.5
Auto7.5
Teleop10.3
End0.7
Second
23.80.2
23.824.0
Auto6.5
Teleop15.2
End2.1
red by 9.2
4153
#11
14.60.2
14.814.6
Auto4.2
Teleop9.9
End0.6
Third
8528
#18
13.20.2
13.213.4
Auto8.0
Teleop3.9
End1.3
red by 2.3
457
#21
10.90.2
11.110.9
Auto5.0
Teleop5.1
End0.8