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Red25
43642.8
887912.3
86105.2
Blue45
46107.9
874911.1
51037.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21290104050602545

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8879
#25
12.30.6
9.09.6
Auto3.4
Teleop7.3
End1.6
red by 1.1
8749
#10
11.10.0
12.612.6
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End2.0
Second
8610
#42
5.20.6
4.55.1
Auto2.1
Teleop2.1
End1.0
blue by 2.7
5103
#28
7.90.0
5.25.2
Auto3.4
Teleop4.0
End0.5
Third
4364
#41
2.80.6
6.26.8
Auto0.6
Teleop1.4
End0.7
blue by 5.1
4610
#30
7.90.0
7.17.1
Auto2.1
Teleop5.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed