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Red17
43327.9
380211.5
71383.4
Blue27
47177.1
859810.8
58945.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18240102030401727

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3802
#32
11.50.3
7.37.0
Auto2.9
Teleop6.5
End2.1
red by 0.7
8598
#13
10.80.6
9.410.0
Auto2.9
Teleop6.8
End1.1
Second
4332
#22
7.90.5
2.92.3
Auto2.1
Teleop4.8
End1.0
red by 0.8
4717
#15
7.10.6
5.15.8
Auto2.4
Teleop4.0
End0.7
Third
7138
#37
3.40.5
6.66.0
Auto1.7
Teleop0.7
End1.0
blue by 1.9
5894
#40
5.30.6
6.77.3
Auto2.3
Teleop1.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed