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Red65
541426.7
941815.3
384732.1
Blue24
47177.1
801915.2
95245.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions682504060801001206524

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.10.9
24.625.5
Auto16.6
Teleop14.1
End1.3
red by 16.9
15.20.9
14.713.8
Auto6.5
Teleop7.7
End1.0
Second
26.70.9
20.020.9
Auto8.1
Teleop17.6
End1.0
red by 19.7
4717
#15
7.10.9
6.45.5
Auto2.4
Teleop4.0
End0.7
Third
15.30.9
12.213.1
Auto5.0
Teleop8.5
End1.9
red by 9.7
9524
#34
5.60.9
7.06.1
Auto2.4
Teleop2.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed