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Red20
63577.0
914011.3
46107.9
Blue34
258311.3
95068.0
43327.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332301020304050602034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9140
#36
11.31.0
11.810.9
Auto2.2
Teleop8.7
End0.3
Level
2583
#11
11.30.8
9.19.9
Auto7.1
Teleop3.0
End1.2
Second
4610
#30
7.91.0
7.16.2
Auto2.1
Teleop5.1
End0.7
blue by 0.1
9506
#14
8.00.8
10.611.3
Auto3.2
Teleop4.3
End0.5
Third
6357
#38
7.01.0
9.88.9
Auto1.5
Teleop4.3
End1.3
blue by 0.8
4332
#22
7.90.8
2.53.3
Auto2.1
Teleop4.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed