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Red41
90549.2
941815.3
61556.4
Blue20
71383.4
94488.3
882712.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2718010405060704120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.31.4
13.114.5
Auto5.0
Teleop8.5
End1.9
red by 2.7
8827
#26
12.60.2
9.08.7
Auto3.9
Teleop7.8
End0.9
Second
9054
#35
9.21.4
6.57.9
Auto2.4
Teleop4.3
End2.6
red by 0.9
9448
#16
8.30.1
4.14.0
Auto3.9
Teleop3.8
End0.7
Third
6155
#33
6.41.4
3.54.9
Auto2.6
Teleop2.7
End1.1
red by 3.0
7138
#37
3.40.2
3.93.7
Auto1.7
Teleop0.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed