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Red40
874911.1
384732.1
81146.3
Blue48
86257.0
541426.7
914011.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions544102060804048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.11.3
26.825.5
Auto16.6
Teleop14.1
End1.3
red by 5.4
26.70.0
21.121.1
Auto8.1
Teleop17.6
End1.0
Second
8749
#10
11.11.3
13.912.6
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End2.0
blue by 0.1
9140
#36
11.30.0
10.910.8
Auto2.2
Teleop8.7
End0.3
Third
8114
#27
6.31.3
6.35.0
Auto4.3
Teleop0.9
End1.0
blue by 0.7
8625
#20
7.00.0
6.46.3
Auto3.5
Teleop3.4
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed