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Red29
51037.9
887912.3
45977.4
Blue18
941815.3
71383.4
636914.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273301020304050602918

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8879
#25
12.30.0
10.010.0
Auto3.4
Teleop7.3
End1.6
blue by 3.0
15.31.2
14.513.3
Auto5.0
Teleop8.5
End1.9
Second
5103
#28
7.90.0
7.97.9
Auto3.4
Teleop4.0
End0.5
blue by 6.6
6369
#12
14.51.2
11.09.7
Auto5.4
Teleop7.4
End1.8
Third
4597
#23
7.40.0
7.17.1
Auto1.5
Teleop5.3
End0.7
red by 4.0
7138
#37
3.41.2
3.72.4
Auto1.7
Teleop0.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed