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Red24
85079.7
258311.3
50528.0
Blue9
541426.7
43642.8
71383.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304301020506070249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2583
#11
11.30.8
11.510.7
Auto7.1
Teleop3.0
End1.2
blue by 15.4
26.73.1
17.314.2
Auto8.1
Teleop17.6
End1.0
Second
9.70.8
8.37.6
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End0.6
red by 6.2
7138
#37
3.43.1
8.65.5
Auto1.7
Teleop0.7
End1.0
Third
5052
#29
8.00.8
9.08.2
Auto2.8
Teleop4.2
End1.0
red by 5.2
4364
#41
2.83.1
11.18.0
Auto0.6
Teleop1.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed