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Red41
94488.3
801915.2
27897.7
Blue30
51037.9
550310.9
882712.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2431010204050604130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.21.9
14.116.0
Auto6.5
Teleop7.7
End1.0
red by 2.6
8827
#26
12.60.3
9.710.0
Auto3.9
Teleop7.8
End0.9
Second
9448
#16
8.31.2
4.45.6
Auto3.9
Teleop3.8
End0.7
blue by 2.6
5503
#18
10.90.2
9.69.8
Auto4.4
Teleop4.7
End1.8
Third
2789
#21
7.71.2
4.35.5
Auto4.3
Teleop2.4
End1.1
blue by 0.2
5103
#28
7.90.3
7.98.2
Auto3.4
Teleop4.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed