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Red7
47177.1
43642.8
85079.7
Blue44
91374.2
912112.8
636914.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2126010304050744

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9.71.3
10.89.5
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End0.6
blue by 4.8
6369
#12
14.51.7
10.612.3
Auto5.4
Teleop7.4
End1.8
Second
4717
#15
7.11.2
6.85.7
Auto2.4
Teleop4.0
End0.7
blue by 5.7
12.81.3
10.111.4
Auto5.4
Teleop6.6
End0.8
Third
4364
#41
2.81.2
2.41.2
Auto0.6
Teleop1.4
End0.7
blue by 1.4
9137
#24
4.21.7
2.23.9
Auto1.1
Teleop2.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed