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Red33
95245.6
86257.0
71383.4
Blue34
86105.2
43327.9
27897.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions181304060801003334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8625
#20
7.00.4
6.35.9
Auto3.5
Teleop3.4
End0.1
blue by 0.9
4332
#22
7.91.6
3.55.1
Auto2.1
Teleop4.8
End1.0
Second
9524
#34
5.60.4
6.05.5
Auto2.4
Teleop2.7
End0.6
blue by 2.1
2789
#21
7.71.1
5.56.6
Auto4.3
Teleop2.4
End1.1
Third
7138
#37
3.40.4
3.53.0
Auto1.7
Teleop0.7
End1.0
blue by 1.8
8610
#42
5.21.5
3.44.9
Auto2.1
Teleop2.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed