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Red59
94488.3
43327.9
541426.7
Blue46
367919.0
37435.8
71383.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413101020506070805946

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.71.7
23.425.1
Auto8.1
Teleop17.6
End1.0
red by 7.7
19.00.3
19.819.6
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End0.2
Second
9448
#16
8.31.5
6.88.3
Auto3.9
Teleop3.8
End0.7
red by 2.5
3743
#31
5.80.2
6.05.8
Auto4.2
Teleop1.1
End0.4
Third
4332
#22
7.91.9
6.07.9
Auto2.1
Teleop4.8
End1.0
red by 4.4
7138
#37
3.40.3
3.73.4
Auto1.7
Teleop0.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed