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Red40
356115.8
27897.7
61556.4
Blue49
46107.9
41821.5
47177.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3038010205060704049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3561
#17
15.80.7
15.616.3
Auto8.0
Teleop6.2
End1.7
blue by 5.7
418
#3
21.51.2
20.922.0
Auto11.4
Teleop8.9
End1.3
Second
2789
#21
7.70.6
7.17.7
Auto4.3
Teleop2.4
End1.1
blue by 0.2
4610
#30
7.91.3
6.67.9
Auto2.1
Teleop5.1
End0.7
Third
6155
#33
6.40.7
5.76.4
Auto2.6
Teleop2.7
End1.1
blue by 0.7
4717
#15
7.11.2
5.97.1
Auto2.4
Teleop4.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed