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Red66
941815.3
589220.8
81146.3
Blue41
258311.3
914011.3
57267.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46270204060806641

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.80.5
19.920.4
Auto9.6
Teleop9.7
End1.5
red by 9.4
2583
#11
11.30.3
10.210.5
Auto7.1
Teleop3.0
End1.2
Second
15.30.5
14.415.0
Auto5.0
Teleop8.5
End1.9
red by 4.0
9140
#36
11.30.3
10.110.4
Auto2.2
Teleop8.7
End0.3
Third
8114
#27
6.30.6
5.35.9
Auto4.3
Teleop0.9
End1.0
blue by 1.4
5726
#19
7.60.3
6.56.8
Auto5.0
Teleop1.8
End0.8