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Red21
881910.9
29506.5
74186.7
Blue55
505210.1
32424.6
21588.5
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions224704060802155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8819
#14
10.90.5
10.710.2
Auto5.6
Teleop4.5
End0.8
blue by 13.6
324
#5
24.61.0
19.220.2
Auto7.9
Teleop15.7
End1.0
Second
7418
#19
6.70.5
7.06.4
Auto2.4
Teleop3.4
End0.9
blue by 3.4
5052
#22
10.11.2
8.09.2
Auto4.8
Teleop4.5
End0.9
Third
2950
#17
6.50.5
5.55.0
Auto2.0
Teleop3.4
End1.1
blue by 2.0
2158
#21
8.51.0
12.713.7
Auto3.3
Teleop4.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed