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Red69
731223.7
526111.1
23127.4
Blue14
95165.8
258711.7
42952.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions581402040801006914

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#1
27.41.1
22.823.9
Auto7.9
Teleop15.4
End4.1
red by 15.7
2587
#18
11.70.2
10.910.7
Auto5.7
Teleop4.5
End1.6
Second
23.71.1
17.318.4
Auto10.2
Teleop10.9
End2.7
red by 17.9
9516
#35
5.80.2
5.75.5
Auto2.0
Teleop2.9
End0.9
Third
11.11.1
7.18.2
Auto3.7
Teleop6.4
End1.0
red by 8.6
4295
#34
2.50.2
1.00.7
Auto1.2
Teleop0.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsEarned7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed