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Red32
42952.5
87507.4
542723.1
Blue49
589225.7
881910.9
817717.6
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions245104060801003249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.10.5
19.019.5
Auto9.4
Teleop11.7
End2.0
blue by 2.6
25.70.4
20.420.8
Auto9.2
Teleop14.3
End2.2
Second
8750
#31
7.40.5
5.05.5
Auto2.3
Teleop3.8
End1.2
blue by 10.2
17.60.4
12.813.2
Auto8.9
Teleop7.7
End1.1
Third
4295
#34
2.50.5
0.71.2
Auto1.2
Teleop0.2
End1.2
blue by 8.4
8819
#14
10.90.4
9.810.2
Auto5.6
Teleop4.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed