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Red9
90815.7
74186.7
95143.6
Blue57
42952.5
731223.7
88187.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1626020406080957

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7418
#19
6.70.4
6.35.9
Auto2.4
Teleop3.4
End0.9
blue by 17.0
23.72.0
17.719.7
Auto10.2
Teleop10.9
End2.7
Second
9081
#29
5.70.4
5.24.8
Auto1.0
Teleop4.4
End0.3
blue by 1.5
8818
#20
7.22.0
3.75.6
Auto1.4
Teleop4.8
End0.9
Third
9514
#32
3.60.4
4.13.6
Auto1.3
Teleop1.6
End0.7
red by 1.1
4295
#34
2.52.0
1.23.2
Auto1.2
Teleop0.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed3%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed34%Ensemble oddsMissed