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Red75
90815.7
731223.7
912836.3
Blue19
95143.6
94195.0
526111.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions661604060801001207519

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.31.4
29.631.0
Auto13.3
Teleop20.3
End2.7
red by 25.2
11.10.4
9.38.9
Auto3.7
Teleop6.4
End1.0
Second
23.71.4
20.121.5
Auto10.2
Teleop10.9
End2.7
red by 18.7
9419
#28
5.00.7
6.55.8
Auto2.5
Teleop1.9
End0.6
Third
9081
#29
5.71.4
4.25.6
Auto1.0
Teleop4.4
End0.3
red by 2.1
9514
#32
3.60.4
4.54.1
Auto1.3
Teleop1.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed