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Red50
23127.4
74186.7
25859.3
Blue39
29506.5
505210.1
542723.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404002060801005039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#1
27.40.4
25.125.5
Auto7.9
Teleop15.4
End4.1
red by 4.3
23.10.5
22.622.1
Auto9.4
Teleop11.7
End2.0
Second
2585
#16
9.30.4
6.16.6
Auto2.5
Teleop4.1
End2.6
blue by 0.8
5052
#22
10.10.5
7.67.2
Auto4.8
Teleop4.5
End0.9
Third
7418
#19
6.70.4
5.25.6
Auto2.4
Teleop3.4
End0.9
red by 0.2
2950
#17
6.50.5
5.85.3
Auto2.0
Teleop3.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsEarned