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Red105
912836.3
23127.4
303514.9
Blue35
59862.8
71157.7
817717.6
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8821040608010012014010535

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.30.6
33.233.8
Auto13.3
Teleop20.3
End2.7
red by 18.7
17.60.5
15.615.1
Auto8.9
Teleop7.7
End1.1
Second
231
#1
27.40.6
25.626.1
Auto7.9
Teleop15.4
End4.1
red by 19.7
7115
#10
7.70.5
9.08.5
Auto5.6
Teleop1.1
End1.0
Third
3035
#15
14.90.6
12.813.3
Auto5.1
Teleop8.7
End1.1
red by 12.1
5986
#33
2.80.5
2.52.1
Auto1.4
Teleop1.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
62%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed