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Red50
526111.1
881910.9
90815.7
Blue16
59086.4
95165.8
29506.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311601020405060705016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.10.6
9.39.9
Auto3.7
Teleop6.4
End1.0
red by 4.6
2950
#17
6.50.0
4.64.6
Auto2.0
Teleop3.4
End1.1
Second
8819
#14
10.90.6
11.512.1
Auto5.6
Teleop4.5
End0.8
red by 4.5
5908
#24
6.40.0
6.16.0
Auto1.4
Teleop4.0
End1.0
Third
9081
#29
5.70.6
5.25.8
Auto1.0
Teleop4.4
End0.3
blue by 0.1
9516
#35
5.80.0
5.95.9
Auto2.0
Teleop2.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed