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Red55
731223.7
95143.6
589225.7
Blue72
817717.6
74186.7
769114.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions623102040801005572

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.70.9
24.823.8
Auto9.2
Teleop14.3
End2.2
red by 8.1
17.62.2
15.117.3
Auto8.9
Teleop7.7
End1.1
Second
23.70.9
23.322.4
Auto10.2
Teleop10.9
End2.7
red by 9.3
7691
#13
14.42.2
11.613.8
Auto2.6
Teleop9.4
End2.4
Third
9514
#32
3.60.9
4.13.2
Auto1.3
Teleop1.6
End0.7
blue by 3.1
7418
#19
6.72.2
5.17.3
Auto2.4
Teleop3.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed