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Red59
95143.6
769114.4
912836.3
Blue84
258711.7
589225.7
23127.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57672040801005984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.30.4
35.535.9
Auto13.3
Teleop20.3
End2.7
red by 8.9
231
#1
27.41.6
25.427.0
Auto7.9
Teleop15.4
End4.1
Second
7691
#13
14.40.4
13.814.2
Auto2.6
Teleop9.4
End2.4
blue by 11.3
25.71.6
23.825.5
Auto9.2
Teleop14.3
End2.2
Third
9514
#32
3.60.4
3.23.6
Auto1.3
Teleop1.6
End0.7
blue by 8.1
2587
#18
11.71.6
10.311.9
Auto5.7
Teleop4.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsMissed51%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned