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Red28
59862.8
25859.3
29506.5
Blue17
42952.5
303514.9
90815.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions172701030405060702817

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2585
#16
9.30.8
8.18.9
Auto2.5
Teleop4.1
End2.6
blue by 5.6
3035
#15
14.90.4
14.113.7
Auto5.1
Teleop8.7
End1.1
Second
2950
#17
6.50.8
6.37.0
Auto2.0
Teleop3.4
End1.1
red by 0.9
9081
#29
5.70.4
5.85.5
Auto1.0
Teleop4.4
End0.3
Third
5986
#33
2.80.8
2.12.8
Auto1.4
Teleop1.1
End0.4
red by 0.3
4295
#34
2.50.4
2.92.5
Auto1.2
Teleop0.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed