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Red76
731223.7
887914.3
303514.9
Blue44
526111.1
59237.3
837016.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5736020801001207644

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.70.5
22.523.0
Auto10.2
Teleop10.9
End2.7
red by 7.5
8370
#12
16.30.1
16.416.5
Auto6.0
Teleop9.1
End1.2
Second
3035
#15
14.90.5
13.714.2
Auto5.1
Teleop8.7
End1.1
red by 3.8
11.10.1
11.211.3
Auto3.7
Teleop6.4
End1.0
Third
8879
#26
14.30.5
13.113.5
Auto6.7
Teleop6.1
End1.4
red by 7.0
5923
#25
7.30.1
7.47.4
Auto1.7
Teleop4.4
End1.1