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Red64
505210.1
542723.1
32424.6
Blue29
769114.4
817717.6
74186.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6439020801001206429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
324
#5
24.60.1
23.723.6
Auto7.9
Teleop15.7
End1.0
red by 6.9
17.60.3
17.517.2
Auto8.9
Teleop7.7
End1.1
Second
23.10.1
22.322.1
Auto9.4
Teleop11.7
End2.0
red by 8.7
7691
#13
14.40.3
14.213.9
Auto2.6
Teleop9.4
End2.4
Third
5052
#22
10.10.1
9.29.1
Auto4.8
Teleop4.5
End0.9
red by 3.4
7418
#19
6.70.3
6.56.2
Auto2.4
Teleop3.4
End0.9