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Red78
635716.7
246841.7
667238.7
Blue96
11841.4
589221.3
300549.2
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107128501502007896

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2468
#14
41.70.7
42.441.7
Auto8.7
Teleop29.5
End3.5
blue by 7.5
49.20.4
49.649.2
Auto15.5
Teleop29.7
End4.1
Second
38.70.7
39.438.7
Auto10.8
Teleop25.0
End2.8
blue by 2.8
118
#2
41.40.4
41.841.4
Auto15.3
Teleop19.4
End6.7
Third
6357
#25
16.70.7
17.416.7
Auto6.2
Teleop8.3
End2.2
blue by 4.6
5892
#23
21.30.4
21.621.3
Auto6.7
Teleop13.0
End1.6