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Red49
541126.5
635716.7
21589.3
Blue51
464123.3
303515.0
761622.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4559020801001204951

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5411
#29
26.50.4
19.019.4
Auto8.5
Teleop17.2
End0.9
red by 3.2
4641
#31
23.30.1
20.320.2
Auto10.1
Teleop12.0
End1.3
Second
6357
#25
16.70.4
14.114.5
Auto6.2
Teleop8.3
End2.2
blue by 6.2
7616
#24
22.90.1
15.715.6
Auto7.6
Teleop14.3
End1.1
Third
2158
#40
9.30.4
9.610.0
Auto3.7
Teleop5.9
End-0.2
blue by 5.7
3035
#39
15.00.1
15.815.7
Auto7.9
Teleop6.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed