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Red83
174519.5
873213.7
300549.2
Blue85
356122.1
463923.9
367633.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7474607080908385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.20.6
43.444.0
Auto15.5
Teleop29.7
End4.1
red by 15.5
33.60.9
28.129.0
Auto15.7
Teleop15.4
End2.6
Second
1745
#13
19.50.6
13.614.1
Auto6.3
Teleop12.2
End1.0
blue by 4.4
23.90.9
20.721.5
Auto5.6
Teleop14.8
End3.5
Third
8732
#43
13.70.6
10.310.9
Auto6.3
Teleop7.3
End0.1
blue by 8.4
3561
#27
22.10.9
18.319.2
Auto9.5
Teleop10.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsEarned46%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed31%Ensemble oddsMissed