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Red77
857315.3
589221.3
11841.4
Blue139
463923.9
300549.2
246841.7
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84122406010014016018077139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#2
41.40.2
39.038.8
Auto15.3
Teleop19.4
End6.7
blue by 7.8
49.22.2
42.344.5
Auto15.5
Teleop29.7
End4.1
Second
5892
#23
21.30.2
26.025.8
Auto6.7
Teleop13.0
End1.6
blue by 20.4
2468
#14
41.72.2
41.143.4
Auto8.7
Teleop29.5
End3.5
Third
8573
#26
15.30.2
15.114.9
Auto9.6
Teleop3.5
End2.2
blue by 8.6
23.92.2
22.124.3
Auto5.6
Teleop14.8
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsEarned99%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
48%Ensemble oddsEarned57%Ensemble oddsEarned