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Red48
837017.4
464123.3
550317.0
Blue59
258229.0
510310.2
750314.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5960455055657075804859

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4641
#31
23.30.4
20.720.2
Auto10.1
Teleop12.0
End1.3
blue by 5.7
29.00.3
28.328.0
Auto9.8
Teleop16.2
End3.0
Second
8370
#28
17.40.4
18.117.7
Auto5.9
Teleop10.4
End1.1
red by 3.0
7503
#35
14.50.3
12.712.4
Auto4.7
Teleop7.7
End2.0
Third
5503
#37
17.00.4
15.815.3
Auto7.5
Teleop7.3
End2.3
red by 6.8
5103
#41
10.20.3
12.111.8
Auto4.4
Teleop4.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsEarned