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Red62
464123.3
373522.7
258229.0
Blue67
174519.5
589221.3
637726.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions846902040601001201401606267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.00.8
28.027.2
Auto9.8
Teleop16.2
End3.0
red by 2.8
6377
#12
26.30.2
25.625.8
Auto6.8
Teleop18.0
End1.5
Second
4641
#31
23.30.8
20.219.4
Auto10.1
Teleop12.0
End1.3
red by 2.1
5892
#23
21.30.2
23.123.3
Auto6.7
Teleop13.0
End1.6
Third
3735
#30
22.70.8
26.325.4
Auto8.8
Teleop12.1
End1.9
red by 3.3
1745
#13
19.50.2
15.415.6
Auto6.3
Teleop12.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsEarned62%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed