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Red44
303515.0
41822.4
873213.7
Blue51
801912.9
373522.7
367633.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions548520401001201401604451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
418
#18
22.40.6
22.521.9
Auto9.4
Teleop12.3
End0.7
blue by 11.3
33.61.5
31.530.0
Auto15.7
Teleop15.4
End2.6
Second
3035
#39
15.00.6
17.216.6
Auto7.9
Teleop6.4
End0.8
blue by 7.7
3735
#30
22.71.5
25.424.0
Auto8.8
Teleop12.1
End1.9
Third
8732
#43
13.70.6
12.912.3
Auto6.3
Teleop7.3
End0.1
red by 0.8
8019
#42
12.91.5
16.314.8
Auto3.0
Teleop8.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed76%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsMissed