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Red60
914026.9
510310.2
949215.1
Blue98
589221.3
300549.2
373522.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4511701001502006098

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9140
#16
26.90.7
25.326.1
Auto9.1
Teleop16.4
End1.3
blue by 22.3
49.20.1
50.951.0
Auto15.5
Teleop29.7
End4.1
Second
9492
#32
15.10.7
14.315.1
Auto3.8
Teleop9.5
End1.8
blue by 7.7
3735
#30
22.70.1
23.123.2
Auto8.8
Teleop12.1
End1.9
Third
5103
#41
10.20.7
9.510.2
Auto4.4
Teleop4.8
End1.0
blue by 11.0
5892
#23
21.30.1
23.023.0
Auto6.7
Teleop13.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsEarned96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsEarned