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Red53
303515.0
23128.9
850710.5
Blue108
258229.0
11841.4
731232.2
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49120010015053108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#11
28.90.0
27.027.0
Auto7.1
Teleop17.5
End4.4
blue by 12.5
118
#2
41.40.5
42.743.2
Auto15.3
Teleop19.4
End6.7
Second
3035
#39
15.00.0
15.015.0
Auto7.9
Teleop6.4
End0.8
blue by 17.1
32.20.5
29.730.3
Auto11.3
Teleop17.7
End3.2
Third
8507
#34
10.50.0
10.410.5
Auto5.4
Teleop3.6
End1.4
blue by 18.6
29.00.5
27.928.4
Auto9.8
Teleop16.2
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsEarned96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed90%Ensemble oddsEarned