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Red119
11841.4
589221.3
300549.2
Blue117
23128.9
731232.2
857624.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1378550100150200119117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.20.0
51.351.3
Auto15.5
Teleop29.7
End4.1
red by 17.0
32.20.6
31.532.2
Auto11.3
Teleop17.7
End3.2
Second
118
#2
41.40.0
43.543.5
Auto15.3
Teleop19.4
End6.7
red by 12.5
231
#11
28.90.6
28.328.9
Auto7.1
Teleop17.5
End4.4
Third
5892
#23
21.30.0
23.323.4
Auto6.7
Teleop13.0
End1.6
blue by 2.9
8576
#21
24.20.6
23.524.2
Auto8.5
Teleop13.4
End2.3