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Red142
635716.7
246841.7
667238.7
Blue103
367633.6
914026.9
541126.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11191050150200250142103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2468
#14
41.70.9
41.942.8
Auto8.7
Teleop29.5
End3.5
red by 8.0
33.60.4
32.933.3
Auto15.7
Teleop15.4
End2.6
Second
38.70.9
38.939.8
Auto10.8
Teleop25.0
End2.8
red by 11.8
9140
#16
26.90.4
26.126.5
Auto9.1
Teleop16.4
End1.3
Third
6357
#25
16.70.9
16.917.8
Auto6.2
Teleop8.3
End2.2
blue by 9.9
5411
#29
26.50.4
25.726.1
Auto8.5
Teleop17.2
End0.9