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Red81
129629.1
62435.5
32427.8
Blue66
543127.5
268716.3
420635.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91830501502002503003508166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#4
35.50.0
28.528.4
Auto10.5
Teleop21.8
End3.2
Level
35.50.7
30.630.0
Auto11.2
Teleop21.2
End3.1
Second
1296
#14
29.10.0
28.528.5
Auto11.1
Teleop15.8
End2.2
red by 1.6
27.50.7
21.821.1
Auto7.4
Teleop18.2
End1.9
Third
324
#9
27.80.0
24.724.7
Auto7.5
Teleop19.6
End0.8
red by 11.5
2687
#39
16.30.7
23.823.2
Auto7.2
Teleop8.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
88%Melody oddsEarned86%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsEarned43%Ensemble oddsMissed