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Red55
284821.5
912116.7
636926.5
Blue47
908813.0
918112.1
271424.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68480204060801001201405547

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6369
#11
26.50.3
23.623.3
Auto8.6
Teleop17.6
End0.3
red by 2.4
2714
#30
24.10.1
23.823.9
Auto7.9
Teleop14.4
End1.8
Second
2848
#33
21.50.3
21.020.7
Auto7.9
Teleop12.9
End0.8
red by 8.5
9088
#35
13.00.1
11.311.3
Auto5.0
Teleop7.4
End0.6
Third
9121
#29
16.70.3
14.314.0
Auto5.3
Teleop10.3
End1.2
red by 4.6
9181
#38
12.10.1
10.610.7
Auto4.0
Teleop2.5
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsEarned24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed